Global Crisis in Fertility Theory: What Went Wrong?

Mahmuda Khatun

Abstract



Fertility, as a component of population change, caught the attention of many demographers since the relationship between population and society has been established. Even though micro level theories successfully projected trends of fertility at local level but finding a global theory is still a way to go. Macro theories failed to overcome social, cultural, and political boundaries. The solution can go either way. Demographers can all together give up on looking a grand theory. Or they can go for the regional theories because not all economic, social, or cultural mechanism operates equally to lower down fertility. The present paper is an attempt to question the validity of unified theory of fertility, thereby, an attempt to look for a modified version of fertility theory which would be better fit at the regional level.
Key words: Fertility, theories of fertility, regional theory, unified theory, validity of fertility theory
Résumé: La fécondité, comme une composante de l'évolution démographique, a attiré l'attention de nombreux démographes depuis que la relation entre la population et la société a été établie. Même si la théorie micro-niveau a projeté à succès les tendances de la fécondité au niveau local mais il y a encore un longue chemin à parcourir à trouver une théorie globale. Macro théorie a échoué à surmonter les bornes sociales, culturelles et politiques. La solution peut aller à l'une ou l'autre route. Les démographes peuvent donner tous ensemble sur la recherche d'une grande théorie. Ou ils peuvent aller pour la théorie régionale parce que ce n’est pas tous le mécanisme économique, social, culturel fonctionne également à diminuer la fécondité. Le présent document est une tentative de remettre en question la validité de la théorie unifiée de la fécondité, de ce fait, une tentative de chercher une version modifiée de la théorie de féconditéqui serait mieux adaptés au niveau régional.
Mots-Clés: Fécondité, théorie de fécondité, théorie régional, théorie unifiée, validité de la théorie de fécondité

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DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.3968/j.css.1923669720080403.002

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